
I’ll resist the urge to be dramatic, but we must face facts: Oil is running out. The price is increasing on a monthly basis, and we are getting closer to running out completely.
Whether $100 a gallon comes within decades or a hundred years, even the most optimistic experts admit it’s only a matter of time before it happens.
At the moment, all big car makers are all rolling out hybrid models of their cars, with some car makers brave enough to sell all-electric models to the “lunatic fringe” who are willing to adopt them.
Tesla, Nissan and Mitsubishi both have normal-looking, all-electric cars available to purchase right now. Not surprisingly, two of those manufacturers also sell internal combustion engined vehicles, so that explains why their electric vehicle models both only have a range of 100 miles per charge.
It’s not a conspiracy, it’s just not their primary business model (yet). If you have billions invested in one particular technology that is popular and works (internal combustion engine), you’d be a fool to drop it suddenly and move to a relatively unknown technology (battery-electric) while there’s still millions to be made with your already established technology.
This also explains why the range is limited on two of those car makers. They don’t want you to stop buying their other products. Tesla on the other hand, only makes electric vehicles, so they have nothing to lose, with their current car, the Roadster, having a range of just under 250 miles per charge.
Hydrogen-powered cars seemed like a popular solution to the oil crisis too for a while, until a few scientists and bloggers started spreading a few quiet observations about the technology.
Little nuggets of wisdom like the typical price for the average fuel cell car (just under $1m each), and the curious fact that hydrogen is mostly extracted from crude oil.
Hydrogen is the most abundant element in the universe to be fair, although it’s an element that’s always stuck to something. Water’s one way to get hydrogen, but first you have to extract (seperate) it from the water. This uses a lot of electricity. I mean a LOT of electricity.
For example, if you wanted to power all the cars in the USA with hydrogen extracted from water, you’d need around 1,500 more nuclear power stations. That’s about 12 times the amount of electricity required to just drive all-electric cars.
Then there’s the fact there’s no hydrogen infrastructure. And the fact that hydrogen costs between two and five times whatever gasoline costs at that moment in time.
So in short, gas will go up again soon. It wilI hike in price, then rest, then hike again, then rest. It will not, however, come down. So be prepared to drive an electric car in the future, with hybrids being the stepping stone for the general public.
Embrace the technology early, and enjoy the many benefits of driving past the gas stations at a fraction of the cost. Silently too of course.



9:00 pm on July 8th, 2011 1
Hey Gavin,
great article and good analysis of Nissan and Mitsubishi.
Did you hear that Mitsubishi NZ is selling the i-MiEV for for NZ$59,990?
For that money, it’s cheaper to do your own Electric Car Conversion and have money left over.
What I also found interesting is that someone on Facebook mentioned that he has a 2000 Ford Ranger EV and it’s range is greater than the i-MiEV.
regards
Crazy Al
PS. how are you going with your 2nd EV conversion?
11:29 pm on July 8th, 2011 2
Hi Al!
Yes you’re right mate, both Nissan and Mitsubishi will be selling their electric cars for twice what they cost in California. There’s really no incentive to spend that money. Much better to convert. In fact for half the cost of a Leaf or i-MiEV, you could have a home-converted car with the exact same range. Why spend another $30k on nothing?
As for KiwiEV2 – it’s coming, but not for a while yet. We’re just about to move overseas, and then I’m dedicating myself to converting a car (once I get a job!).
Cheers!
Gav